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The Ugandan government Youth Livelihoods Programme (YLP) targets poor and unemployed youth between 18 and 30 years. The programme is designed to increase access to affordable credit, develop business skills and improve economic outcomes for youth and their families. This impact evaluation will assess the socioeconomic impacts of the YLP on youth employment, income and empowerment.
Youth in the targeted age bracket of 18 to 30 years constitute over a fifth (22.5%) of the Ugandan population and are twice as likely to be unemployed compared to adults. The government has identified YLP as an important national programme and has emphasised the need for rigorous evidence to assess its effectiveness.
- What is the impact of YLP on the employment and income of targeted youth?
- Does YLP have an impact on youth empowerment, and their access to and use of financial services?
The YLP is the Ugandan government’s flagship rolling programme targeting youth between the age of 18 and 30 years. Youth interest groups are selected for funding through a rigorous process. Youth are provided vocational skills, entrepreneurship and life skills training as well as financial support for promoting job creation.
Theory of change
The creation of youth interest groups and the provision of training, toolkits and funding are meant to enhance youth access to credit, and increase self-employment and income. It is also likely to have an impact on youth lifestyle and behaviour.
This is a mixed-method impact evaluation. It uses a step-wedged cluster randomised controlled trial and qualitative research methods. Sample selection will follow a stratified three-stage cluster procedure. To ensure representativeness across the different sub-regions in Uganda, randomisation will be stratified first by 16 sub-regions with Kampala as a sub-region and at least one district per region. In the second stage, youth income groups will be selected within the districts. Within each group, five participants will be randomly chosen for the YLP cash transfer and followed over time. Women will be slightly oversampled to ensure that the sample size is adequate to study gendered effects of the programme.
Qualitative research includes key informant interviews with YLP implementers.